@munster_gene on X

Tesla’s EV winter ends, legacy autos freeze

Tesla’s EV slump is ending while traditional carmakers’ EV slump is just beginning.

Result

If held over the last 3 months (Jul 30, 2026 – Oct 29, 2026): +36.4%. Over the same days: S&P 500 +5.3%.

What it holds

  • Tesla, 100% of the money, +38.6% over 3 months: TSLA (Tesla). Tesla’s EV sales recover first.

The plan behind it

Gene Munster wrote on 2 Oct that Tesla’s EV winter is ending while traditional automakers’ is beginning. Tesla’s September deliveries fell 2% from a year ago; GM’s and Ford’s fell 75%. GM and Ford do not trade here. This holds Tesla.

The EV winter for Tesla is ending. The EV ice age for traditional auto is just beginning. $TSLA Sep deliveries down 2% y/y. GM and Ford down 75%.

Picked by fxyz from @munster_gene’s post.

What would prove it wrong: Tesla’s deliveries keep falling from a year ago.

FAQ

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Stocks (Tesla, Apple, Nvidia), crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana), pre-IPO companies (OpenAI, Anthropic), indices (Nasdaq 100, S&P 500), commodities (gold, silver, oil, copper) and currencies (EUR/USD, USD/JPY). One theory can mix them, and bet for or against any of them.

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On each check it reads the last two days of news on its biggest holdings and says whether the idea still holds. It can make one small change at a time: trim or drop one holding by up to 5 points. On autopilot the change waits 10 minutes so the owner can skip it; otherwise it asks first.

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What do the 3-month numbers mean?

What $100 would have done holding this mix over the last 3 months, at real prices. It is a what-if, not a record: past or simulated results are no promise of future ones, and nothing here is investment advice.

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