fxyz
AI labs eat the world, old software gets eaten
Companies that build top AI models will win, and ordinary software companies will lose customers to them.
Result
If held over the last 3 months (Jul 24, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026): −6.4%. Over the same days: S&P 500 +3.9%, Chip stocks −7.2%.
What it holds
- AI model makers, 41% of the money, −0.6% over 3 months: ANTH (Anthropic), OAI (OpenAI), GOOGL (Google), MINIMAX (MiniMax), ZHIPU (Zhipu AI). The labs that build the smartest models take the biggest share of the new money.
- Chips behind the models, 27% of the money, −2.4% over 3 months: NVDA (Nvidia), TSM (TSMC), AVGO (Broadcom). Model makers need loads of computing power, so chip makers get paid either way.
- Old software that loses, 23% of the money, −24.4% over 3 months: against IGV (Software ETF), against NOW (ServiceNow), against ZM (Zoom), against IBM. If AI can do the work, people stop paying for ordinary software.
- Cash, 10%.
The plan behind it
The biggest group bets on the companies that make the AI models, because they get the new money. The second group owns the chips behind those models, since the labs can't grow without them. The third group bets against old-style software, which AI can copy or replace. The shorts are kept smaller so one wrong call doesn't sink the whole idea. The cash gives room to add if the take plays out, or to wait if it's slow.
What would prove it wrong: Sell if old software firms keep growing as fast as before while the AI labs stop gaining customers.
FAQ
Can I make one from my own idea?
Yes. Write what you believe in plain words at https://f.xyz/create. fxyz asks a couple of questions, builds the portfolio and shows how it would have done over the last 3 months.
Can I turn a post on X into a theory?
Yes. Reply to the post and tag @fxyzai. It tests the view in the post and replies with the 3-month result and a link.
What can it trade?
Stocks (Tesla, Apple, Nvidia), crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana), pre-IPO companies (OpenAI, Anthropic), indices (Nasdaq 100, S&P 500), commodities (gold, silver, oil, copper) and currencies (EUR/USD, USD/JPY). One theory can mix them, and bet for or against any of them.
How does it react to news?
On each check it reads the last two days of news on its biggest holdings and says whether the idea still holds. It can make one small change at a time: trim or drop one holding by up to 5 points. On autopilot the change waits 10 minutes so the owner can skip it; otherwise it asks first.
How do I run it with real money?
For real money, tap Make it mine, open your copy and choose Use real money, with an exchange connected: Hyperliquid, Lighter, Lighter (Robinhood), Backpack, Pacifica or Binance. The money stays in your own account there. fxyz can place trades, but it can never withdraw.
Can the AI get it wrong?
Yes. fxyz's AI turns the idea into holdings, and it can get that wrong: add a coin or stock that doesn't fit, or miss one that does. Check the holdings before you put money in. In your own copy, ask its chat to add or drop any of them.
What do the 3-month numbers mean?
What $100 would have done holding this mix over the last 3 months, at real prices. It is a what-if, not a record: past or simulated results are no promise of future ones, and nothing here is investment advice.