fxyz
Gold Over Stocks
Gold will continue to outperform the S&P 500 on a total-return basis.
Result
If held over the last 3 months (Jul 10, 2026 – Oct 9, 2026): −1.2%. Over the same days: S&P 500 +3.1%, BTC +29.4%.
What it holds
- Gold Core, 45% of the money, +0.5% over 3 months: GOLD, PAXG. Physical gold is the primary vehicle for expressing outperformance over equities.
- Precious Metals Kicker, 25% of the money, +0.2% over 3 months: SILVER, PLATINUM. Silver and platinum tend to amplify gold's move when the metals complex outperforms equities.
- Equity Short, 15% of the money, −3.1% over 3 months: against SP500. A short on US large-cap equities directly captures gold's relative outperformance.
- Cash, 15%.
The plan behind it
The core bet is long physical gold proxies versus short broad US equities. Precious metals benefit when real rates fall, dollar weakens, or risk appetite declines — all conditions that tend to drag equities. Silver and platinum offer leveraged commodity beta alongside gold. A short on the S&P 500 index directly expresses the relative underperformance thesis. Cash provides a buffer if both legs move against the spread temporarily.
What would prove it wrong: Gold falls below its 200-day moving average or the S&P 500 posts three consecutive months of gains exceeding gold's return, indicating the relative trend has reversed.
FAQ
Can I make one from my own idea?
Yes. Write what you believe in plain words at https://f.xyz/create. fxyz asks a couple of questions, builds the portfolio and shows how it would have done over the last 3 months.
Can I turn a post on X into a theory?
Yes. Reply to the post and tag @fxyzai. It tests the view in the post and replies with the 3-month result and a link.
What can it trade?
Stocks (Tesla, Apple, Nvidia), crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana), pre-IPO companies (OpenAI, Anthropic), indices (Nasdaq 100, S&P 500), commodities (gold, silver, oil, copper) and currencies (EUR/USD, USD/JPY). One theory can mix them, and bet for or against any of them.
How does it react to news?
On each check it reads the last two days of news on its biggest holdings and says whether the idea still holds. It can make one small change at a time: trim or drop one holding by up to 5 points. On autopilot the change waits 10 minutes so the owner can skip it; otherwise it asks first.
How do I run it with real money?
For real money, tap Make it mine, open your copy and choose Use real money, with an exchange connected: Hyperliquid, Lighter, Lighter (Robinhood), Backpack, Pacifica or Binance. The money stays in your own account there. fxyz can place trades, but it can never withdraw.
Can the AI get it wrong?
Yes. fxyz's AI turns the idea into holdings, and it can get that wrong: add a coin or stock that doesn't fit, or miss one that does. Check the holdings before you put money in. In your own copy, ask its chat to add or drop any of them.
What do the 3-month numbers mean?
What $100 would have done holding this mix over the last 3 months, at real prices. It is a what-if, not a record: past or simulated results are no promise of future ones, and nothing here is investment advice.