# Chip factories grow bigger than whole countries

By fxyz · https://f.xyz/t/1cb30d41-16e6-4bba-84a3-b391c4ec8634

> The companies that make and supply AI chips will become worth more than most countries.

**Result:** If held over the last 3 months (Jul 24, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026): −9.2%. Over the same days: Chip stocks −7.2%, S&P 500 +3.9%.

## What it holds

- **Chip designers** (32%, −0.8% over 3 months): NVDA (Nvidia) +4.9%, AVGO (Broadcom) −15.7%, AMD −2.3%, MRVL (Marvell) +11.2%
- **The factories** (23%, −4.7% over 3 months): TSM (TSMC) +1.3%, INTC (Intel) −14.3%, SMSN (Samsung) −10.0%
- **Memory makers** (18%, −18.7% over 3 months): MU (Micron) −10.2%, SKHX (SK Hynix) −27.8%, SNDK (Sandisk) −17.4%
- **Chip machine makers** (18%, −22.7% over 3 months): ASML −10.9%, AMAT (Applied Materials) −32.5%, LRCX (Lam Research) −28.6%
- **Cash** (10%)

## The plan behind it

If AI keeps growing, the firms that design chips, build them, and make the machines and memory inside them collect the money. We spread the bet across the chip designers, the factories, the memory makers, and the tools that make chips. A small short on the broad market covers the chance that only chips win. The cash lets us buy more if prices dip.

**What would prove it wrong:** Big tech firms cut their AI spending for several quarters and chip orders start to fall.

## FAQ

### Can I make one from my own idea?

Yes. Write what you believe in plain words at https://f.xyz/create. fxyz asks a couple of questions, builds the portfolio and shows how it would have done over the last 3 months.

### Can I turn a post on X into a theory?

Yes. Reply to the post and tag @fxyzai. It tests the view in the post and replies with the 3-month result and a link.

### What can it trade?

Stocks (Tesla, Apple, Nvidia), crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana), pre-IPO companies (OpenAI, Anthropic), indices (Nasdaq 100, S&P 500), commodities (gold, silver, oil, copper) and currencies (EUR/USD, USD/JPY). One theory can mix them, and bet for or against any of them.

### How does it react to news?

On each check it reads the last two days of news on its biggest holdings and says whether the idea still holds. It can make one small change at a time: trim or drop one holding by up to 5 points. On autopilot the change waits 10 minutes so the owner can skip it; otherwise it asks first.

### How do I run it with real money?

For real money, tap Make it mine, open your copy and choose Use real money, with an exchange connected: Hyperliquid, Lighter, Lighter (Robinhood), Backpack, Pacifica or Binance. The money stays in your own account there. fxyz can place trades, but it can never withdraw.

### Can the AI get it wrong?

Yes. fxyz's AI turns the idea into holdings, and it can get that wrong: add a coin or stock that doesn't fit, or miss one that does. Check the holdings before you put money in. In your own copy, ask its chat to add or drop any of them.

### What do the 3-month numbers mean?

What $100 would have done holding this mix over the last 3 months, at real prices. It is a what-if, not a record: past or simulated results are no promise of future ones, and nothing here is investment advice.

Test your own idea: https://f.xyz/test